Grid runs an analysis of CCP motivations and methods for taking over Taiwan. While an all-out invasion is now definitely on the table, a perhaps more likely option for China is a campaogn of Coersion enforced by impacting Taiwan’s trade through a blockade. As Taiwan is highly dependent on maritime commerce, the CCP considered this a perhaps easier way to run the island down without an invasion.
Tbe timing is the thing here, as Ukraine has shown what a highly motivated defender can do with even a small amount of high-technology tools. So to avoid Taiwan gaining an edge would the CCP accelerate their “reunification” campaign?
Taiwan Conflict Research Page 
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